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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Oct 26, 2017 8:54 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: October 26, 2017


The EUR/USD climb higher due to various reasons including the result of the meeting of the ECB, the scheduled statement and the press conference later this day. The dollar also weakened across the market which pushed euro to move higher. Moreover, today is a significant day for the week.  


The statement and announcement from the ECB are anticipated after the press conference of Draghi. As the market expects the release of the statement, the ECB would give their hints and plans related to QE tapering during the press conference. If they were able to give a definite plan and timeline, it would be a big help for the euro which is already presumed to rally after. The data from the eurozone gives out positive data and for this reason. Hence, the ECB does not have a reason to postpone the tapering but the pace of the program is still in question.


Draghi is exerting oneself not to appear hawkish in the past few months to avoid pushing the euro too high. It is yet to be known today is the policy is to be sustained. It will not be an easy task for him since the euro will most likely go up since there is no definite timeline of the QE tapering from the central bank. Other than that, the data from the U.S. in the past 24 hours has also been positive as the data on durable goods came out stronger than anticipated. As for the dollar, the GDP data would be significant which will be released from the U.S. tomorrow.

For today, consolidation is anticipated during the first half of the day while the traders are already preparing for the ECB release in the afternoon. Volatility will also be present in the trading following the announcement and the press conference. It is recommended to wait on the sidelines until everything has settled down.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Mon Oct 30, 2017 9:28 am

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: October 30, 2017


The U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar closed the week high which makes the next week trading to be awaited by traders. Initially, the dollar has been moving steadily but the negative data the previous week pushed the pair to climb above towards 1.26 level with risks imposing the possibility for a breakout towards the level of 1.27.


The movement of the trend was driven by the retail sales data from the Canada which was published in the previous week that gave out a week data and has further escalate doubts to the BOC which has an inclination to increase its rates in short-term. The loonies may have declined but with the incoming Monetary policy statement from the BOC and press conference would open the possibility to become hawkish again. Although, they have been clear in the past that the central bank would not raise their rates for the remaining months in 2017 and presumably even in the early months of the following year. This lessens the hope for it and frustrated the market which resulted to a sell-off in the loonies.


On the other side, the dollar has held steady and was further pushed by a positive GDP data that may have raised the possibility of a rate hike in December. The pair moved towards the 1.28 level and even further towards 1.29 by the end of the week. However, the prices were affected by the reports on who will be the succeeding Fed Chair with chances to be Powell. At the same time, the oil prices soared which assisted in strengthening the Canadian dollar and drove the price to close for the week.

For this week, the Canadian dollar is anticipated to rally in the beginning which includes settlement of payments in oil in the present time of the year. In the latter part of the week, the labor data from the U.S. and Canada are to be released which would have an impact on the prices of the pair. Moreover, if the results of the data are good, the USD/CAD pair would rally and this would confirm the next Fed rate hike in December.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Nov 02, 2017 12:59 pm

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: November 2, 2017


The British pound against the U.S. dollar dropped for a bit during the start of the Wednesday. Soon after, the price bounced up towards the 1.33 level. This pulled back from the said level and tried to reach the level of 1.3250, which has been the focus of sterling traders. Overall, the market should proceed to move higher as it was able to achieve reach a higher level prior to that. Choppiness will also persist in the market and the market will most likely attempt to reach the level higher than 1.35. The 1.3650 level will still be the main resistance level for long-term positions. However, if this area is surpassed, the market could further go up for a longer term.


For now, it is best to take advantage of buying in the lows. If the traders successfully break the level of 1.3250, an option is to wait as this could still go down towards the level of 1.32 and if it breaks down from there, it could further go down to 1.31. It would not be long before value seeking traders would come in cases of pullbacks since there is a strong bullish pressure.

There is a possibility for the uptrend to stop when it breaks lower than the level of 1.30. Hence, this makes small trades to be the ideal position in this trade. Positions should be put on hold until another successful breakout occurs above the level of 1.3650. From here on, this serves as an investment and would be determined through the patience of traders in the current situation.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Nov 08, 2017 10:23 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 8, 2017


The EURUSD pair had a dipped again during the early trade behind weaker than expected production figures from Germany, the data also declined in September. The retail PMI in the European region dropped but retail sales further softened. Meanwhile, Chain Store Sales in the United States had bounced back in the recent week and the Loan Officers survey of U.S. presented standards easing.

Moreover, the euro-dollar pair drove lower and tested the 1.5050 level.The pair bounced back in the late session and failed to reacquire the 1.16 handle. The resistance can be found at 1.1722 region near the 20-day moving average. The prices resumed forming a  head and shoulder reversal pattern with the neckline with a gapped at 1.1660 zone. The target support can be estimated by subtracting the neckline above the 1.1160 head. The momentum sustained its negative stance. The MACD histogram prints in the red, showing a descending trajectory towards a lower exchange rate.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Nov 10, 2017 10:07 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 10, 2017


The single European currency paired with the U.S. dollar drove higher during Thursday session since the trade surplus in Germany has expanded, while the U.S. initial claims rebounded. Moreover, the German growth is predicted to overcome its previous outlook as the inflation is projected to remain muted capping the upside in the pair.

The EURUSD had moved upwards and pushed back on top of the 1.1625 level near around the 10-day moving average, which serves as a support in the short-term. Further support hits the 1.1550 weekly lows. A close over the 1.17 region could possibly negate the formation and triggered consolidation. The negative momentum was seen declining as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) indicator is printing in the red, linked with an ascending trajectory that gives signs of consolidation.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Nov 16, 2017 8:55 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 16, 2017


The euro against the U.S. dollar rallied higher during the beginning of the trade session for five succeeding days and being tested for a 1-month high. The market failed to maintain the current rate as the greenback gathered momentum amid a risk aversion situation. The U.S. data came out positively even better than anticipated. The retail sales data came in higher as well as the CPI report, which supported the U.S. yields and raised the rate of the dollar.

The EUR/USD climbed higher as it reaches close to the October high at the level of 1.1858. The exchange rate has reached once again the 50-day moving average at the level of 1.1786, which is currently the short-term support in the trend. Additional support was found close to the 10-day moving average at 1.1663. The impetus of the currency pair has been moving at a good pace as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) index initiating a buy signal. This happened as the MACD line, which is the 12-day exponential moving average (EMA) minus the 26-day EMA, crossed higher than the MACD signal line found at the 9-day exponential moving average of the MACD line.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:40 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 17, 2017  


The EUR/USD pair had been moving unsteadily in the past few days as the pair moves up and down with high volatility as the greenback moves without a specific direction in the present global tone. The dollar is appealing to be bought in the short term yet the market maybe thinking twice. Although, there are instances where the rally of the dollar where it is being sold at a faster rate.


This maintains the pressure in the dollar and which would be advantageous for the euro. What’s keeping the market optimistic for the dollar is a rate hike from the Fed in December although, the market does not strongly believe this. There are no specific indications yet with indecisiveness of Fed members while the data move at a steady pace.


This has kept the dollar weak with any news or data to be released. In the past 24 hours, the euro decline to the area of 1.1750 which is seen to move down in general. The latest relevant news would be the continuation of the development of missiles from North Korea and the ongoing investigation on the accusation of Russian intervention in the US Presidential elections. These events would drive the dollar down.

For today, the speech of Draghi are expected during the London session but it is unlikely that he would discuss the monetary policy. Hence, traders should get ready for choppiness in trading this pair and be cautious in the liquidity of the pair.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Nov 22, 2017 7:03 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 21, 2017


The single European currency paired with the US Dollar descended and resumed to create a mini-bull flag formation, however, the fundamental and political events coincided against the EURUSD yesterday. The German PPI came in weaker than expected while the failed plan of Merkel to generate a coalition placed pressure to the EUR/USD.

The currency pair currently trades sideways and stayed around the 1.1800 region, after being pushed downwards amid earlier trading hours to test the 1.1704 support area close to the 10-day moving average. The short-term resistance entered the mark 1.1771 around the 50- day moving average. The positive momentum declined as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram prints in the black. The trajectory of the indicator appears to be negative which implies consolidation towards the pair. The RSI also traded sideways showing a reading of 52 fixed in the middle of the neutral range. It further suggests consolidation.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Nov 22, 2017 7:40 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 21, 2017


The EUR/USD pair has a choppy which lead the whole trading session in the past 24 hours.Although, this was influenced by the events in Germany which have put pressure on the market. The euro was affected by the news of the coalition talks in Germany which resulted in a breakdown and declined to a much lower rate during the Asian session. It seems that the euro will be weakened but this was reversed during the trading session as it gained strength.


The euro climbed higher reaching the level of 1.18 as the market ignored the happenings which moved the whole trend higher. It was clearly shown that there is some pressure in the pressure which would be more obvious later on. It initiated during the U.S. session but the euro declined once again lower than the 1.1750 by the end of the day and will most likely continue.


Merkel has been facing an obstacle that has weakened both locally and internationally amid the Brexit negotiations. She would want to be in alliance with other parties although, she knows that this would not be easy. Another option is for her to go for another election but this would bring more uncertainty. It cannot be determined if she will come out stronger or would weaker position in the election. This shaken the German market which also affected the euro.

For today, there is no major news anticipated from the Eurozone or from the U.S. The euro is anticipated to trade in a weak manner in the course of the day and reached lower than the level of 1.17 until there are still pressure present in the market.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Nov 22, 2017 9:46 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 22, 2017


The EUR/USD pair was traded in a narrow range during the shortened week because of the holiday that affects both America and Japan on Thursday. The dollar gained momentum at the beginning following a positive home sales report that boosted the U.S. greater than 2 percent.


The U.S. Chicago Fed National Activity index rose in October as well as the Retail store sales in the past week which is due to the busy holiday season.


The euro major pair rebounded at the support level close to the 10-day Moving Average at 1.1718 which stays afloat higher than the neckline of the head and shoulder pattern. Although, it was not able to initiate liquidation for long-term. There is a resistance found close to the

November highs at 1.1860. The forward momentum is declining as the MACD histogram print is in black with a southward trajectory which could lead to the consolidation of the pair.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Nov 23, 2017 10:40 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 23, 2017


The GBP/USD pair gained more strength from the American dollar than the British pound after the publication of FOMC minutes. The announcement of budget and UK economic outlook had a slight impact towards the pound, hence, the weakness that was left in the dollar provided support to the Cable pair in order to edged higher.


This day is predicted to be highly volatile for the GBP due to the UK budget announcement and FOMC minutes in the United States later. If this happens, the GBPUSD would decline to the 1.3220 mark during the London hours after the issued news relative with the Britain’s budget, however, when the details were already published the flow is expected to reverse.


The announced budget seems to have huge borrowing amount that softened the sterling initially but reduced the trend productivity. This helped the pair to make a reversal and drive upwards near the 1.3250 level. Moreover, the GBP remained unchanged until the issuance of the Fed minutes which said that majority of the members agreed with the rate hike in December, but the following increase is not yet sure.


Mainly, concerns regarding inflation continues and the central bank stated that they wanted to wait for further upcoming data prior making a final decision for a further rate increase. The focus of the market is centered on the dovish statement that will weaken the greenbacks as well as to support the Cable to move near the 1.33 level. The pair is currently trading above 1.33 and would be better to push towards the mark 1.34 in the short-term.

Ultimately, the second estimate for the UK GDP is expected to release and marks the onset of the long weekend due to US Thanksgiving celebration. This indicates that liquidity may dry up while volatility could possibly lower down. In that event, it is not surprising for a boring consolidation for the rest of the day.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Nov 24, 2017 11:50 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 24, 2017


The British pound moved at a steady pace for the day as the pound bulls could not really make use of the long weekend in the U.S. which induced low volatility in the past 24 hours. This resulted in a subdued trading of the currency since the GDP data has been released which does not have much of an effect on traders as well as the volatility.


The publication of the GDP data marked the day which is already anticipated. Yet, this did not have any significant effect on the pound quotations. This would be beneficial for the pound bulls since the economy is about to balance out. Moreover, another budget data which was released the other day giving a positive result that sustained the rate of the pound for short-term amid the Brexit negotiations.


The domestic concerns of the country which were face UK PM May and the German leader Merkel but this has a minimal effect on the Brexit talks. It is already presumed that a breakout would occur after the December meeting which is yet to be observed where there will be an agreement between countries. Ultimately, this will be beneficial for the U.K. economy as well as the pound yet this are just prospects.

For today, there is less economic calendar along with the U.S. Thanksgiving for the weekend. The pound is anticipated to range within narrow levels and consolidate through the course of the day. This day will most likely result in a lackluster trading as the weekend is drawing closer.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Mon Nov 27, 2017 11:03 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 27, 2017


Most of the economies appeared to have an optimistic situation, however, political concerns that affect Europe especially the argument on German politics that heightened concerns over the nearing elections in Hungary, Italy, and Spain. Nevertheless, the Brexit negotiations are completely on track and conducted a significant move forward. According to reports, the United Kingdom offered further deal to clear the way for the European Council to comply with the initial transition and trade talks on December 14-15 summit.

The long transitional period and initial clarification towards the future relationship between Britain and the European Union seems to be essential for business plans and investments to increase. The EUR/USD pair broke out as Brexit talks could possibly advance and pushes the rate higher and plans to test resistance at 1.2092 level around September highs. The support is at 1.2092 region near the 10-day moving average. The positive momentum moved upwards as the relative strength index (RSI) broke out and climbed higher. It prints a reading of 69 which is located on the upper end of the neutral range heading to a higher exchange rate for the eurodollar. The momentum showed by the MACD histogram trailed upwards as the indicator prints in the black with an ascending trajectory which indicates to higher rates of prices.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Nov 29, 2017 6:05 am

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: November 28, 2017


The American dollar weakened versus the Japanese yen throughout the trading session yesterday, while the downward pressure continues. The path towards the 111.50 zone was already cleared and there is a possibility that the market will remain moving down near the bottom area of the overall consolidation felt in the past few months, in case of an extension towards 108 handle. This could possibly true since the US Congress cannot even establish substantial tax bills.


Moreover, it is preferred to impose a buy signal until a break on top of the 112 level on a daily close unless a supportive trend formed around the 108 handle, which is regarded previously as significant and supportive. The market would likely to make a reversal and the US Congress would be able to completely perform its task.

Meanwhile, the current situation can be defined as some sort of “sell the rallies”, as the greenback softened across the board. The JPY remains to be considered as safety  currency and a cautious move can be witnessed given enough time. As shown in the hourly chart, a shooting star begins to form at the 111.25 mark which is a previous support and expected to be resistive at this moment. A cut through at the 110 level could possibly the next move and descended beneath the 110 region that nearly open the way through the 108 handle. Generally, a lot of volatility is predicted to continue, however, the general downward pressure remains to  be a situation in the market that shows extreme choppiness.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Dec 01, 2017 6:06 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 29, 2017


The Euro paired against the U.S. dollar declined once again since the upsurge during the Friday trading session. The German IFO came out better-than-expected was counterbalanced by a steadfast consumer confidence which pushed the OECD with the tendency that overestimated the potential growth of Europe.


The EUR/USD pair declined as it tested the support level close to the 10-day moving average at 1.1818. The resistance level reached close to the September highs of 1.2092.  The momentum persists in a good condition as shown in the MACD histogram where the print is black with an upward sloping trajectory that will most likely lead to higher exchange quotes. The head and shoulder reversal pattern was not successful as the peak reached at a neckline close to 1.1660. The latest upsurge has contradicted the reversal.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Dec 01, 2017 7:44 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: December 1, 2017


The EUR/USD pair rose because of strong yields as it gained strength after inflation from France and a positive Chinese PMI manufacturing data. The Eurozone inflation came our dovish which resulted in a higher euro major currency pair.

The EUR/USD pair rally as it bounced to the support area close to the 10-day moving average at 1.1836. The resistance was found near the weekly highs at 1.1961. There is a neutral momentum seen in the trend as the MACD was printed in black with a flat trajectory that could lead to a consolidation. The RSI index climbed higher because of the positive impetus in the market.  




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:45 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 1, 2017


The EUR/USD pair resumed trading in a robust manner in the past 24 hours while the strength of the US dollar alternately moves higher and lower amid the trading session yesterday. Moreover, this helped the eurodollar pair to go nearer the 1.19 level and continues to trade during the first part of the day on Friday.


The headlines on Thursday was mainly about the American dollar along with its tax reform bill which continues to undergo the Senate. While President Donald Trump and his team remain confident that the bill will be approved, the delayed process has placed pressure on the USD. It is expected that the proposed law will be enacted in the middle day of the week and because of different issues, the approval was delayed. Since we are currently on the last day of the week, the bill is not yet approved, however, it is expected to be passed today.


The ratification of the tax reform could possibly provide a limited and short-term increase to the greens but the underlying strength of the single European currency is clearly apparent for everyone to notice. As the tax reform bill is also priced into the markets, there is no any significant run from the USD regarding the bill enactment. It is still unclear if the euro will keep on gaining strength and reach the 1.20 level which could possibly the next target of the bulls

Ultimately, there are no major economic releases from the United States or the European region for this day, since the tax reform is projected to rule over the present day. The other main focus is the decision of the euro bulls whether to continue pushing the euro higher.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Mon Dec 04, 2017 11:09 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 4, 2017


The euro paired against the U.S. dollar declined since the dollar is starting to strengthen in the past day. The dollar was the highlight in the past week. This will be applicable for the data which will be released from the U.S. due to political issues.


Tax reform will be pushed through by the Senate which would be beneficial for the greenback. The dollar will continue to climb higher as long as the process goes on accordingly. This is what has been happening since Friday. On the other hand, the issue concerning Flynn adds more pressure to the dollar which will put it in a negative stand.


These changes will most likely be the highlight in the news when it comes to the dollar and focuses the week. The dollar will move steadily during the short-term as the end of the week approaches. The rate hike is also anticipated to push through from the Fed for this month. Even though the dollar will rally for a brief period of time, these factors placed the dollars at a good bidding.

There will be no major news from the eurozone or the U.S. for today. However, the dollar will remain strong for the day because of the reasons mentioned above. This keeps the euro under pressure that could result in consolidation and ranges around the level of 1.19 during the day.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Dec 06, 2017 10:22 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 6, 2017


The pound dollar pair resumed declining as the greenbacks remain unchanged. The market is generally preferred a wait-and-see mode since this last month of the year. However, the case of the British pound would likely show higher volatility due to the emergence of political turmoil within and over the United Kingdom. This further caused the GBP to weaken which was seen in the past couple of days.


During the previous entire week, the sterling is crowned to be the strongest currency among its rivals because of the agreement prospect concluded in the Brexit negotiations that helped the bid to keep under the British currency. Moreover, the pound climbs higher to the 1.35 mark and seems that the Cable pair plans to ascend to the 1.38 level upon the release of the contract details within this week or the next. There are expectations that everyone will end the year with satisfaction after the details were announced.


Nevertheless, the opposition of the DUP party towards the Irish borders interrupted the deal that erased hopes for the current week. This deterred the plans of UK Prime Minister Theresa May that delayed her domestic and international plans. It may also imply a tough decision to conduct any deal in the short-term for this apparently put pressure on the pound, while the pair slumped again to the 1.34 mark amid the current trading course.


Ultimately, there are no major economic releases from Britain as the spotlight is turned to the USD and the ADP employment report scheduled later today. On the other hand, UK services PMI data showed some weakness yesterday that further contributed pressure on the GBP. In case that the ADP figures came in positive, then the pair is expected to soften in the near-term.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Dec 14, 2017 10:57 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: December 13, 2017


The EURUSD edged downwards as the German investor confidence came in weaker than predicted results, along with the robust figures of American inflation data that reinforced the US dollar and put pressure on the single European currency. Small business confidence in the United States also showed secured position combined with strong  U.S. chain store sales.

Originally, the euro-dollar pair trailed lower on Tuesday and drove upwards to test the resistance at 1.1819 area near the 10-day moving average. The support of the pair touched the 1.1675 region around the ascending trend line. While prices generate a topping formation and market participant anticipates for the Fed decision as the central bank is highly expected to increase interest rates in the US by 25 basis points. The momentum became negative and the MACD indicator created a crossover sell signal. The moving average convergence divergence further prints in the red with a descending trajectory which implies for a lower exchange of rate.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Dec 20, 2017 12:14 pm

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 20, 2017


The GBP/USD currency pair was able to move ahead of the American dollar, as the USD lower in price amid smooth approval process of the tax bill. The passage was projected to support the dollar to increase, however, the effect was completely different. The market’s reaction remains uncertain not until the bill is already passed through in one of the US Houses and waiting for the Senate approval. However, there could be some delay due to procedural problems which could possibly place some pressure on the greenbacks that could further lead to uncertainty. As expected, the tax reform bill will be enacted by the Senate on a very tight margin and further requires the President’s signature to seal in the law. The whole scenario would likely be completed within this week, hence, the volatility in the USD should keep going until it happens.


The Brexit process does not have much improvement over this week and it is predicted to continue until New Year. Definitely, there will be some strong development in the process since the leaders on both sides clearly stated about the completion of a deal which may take a matter of time prior accomplishing the agreement. This notion seems to provide support for the pound in the past couple of weeks.

Ultimately, BOE Governor Mark Carney will have his speech but the impact to the market is predicted to be minimal. The market trend for today would likely be led by the USD and tax bill legislation. It is believed that the greens should gain more strength in the short and medium term in order to maintain the GBPUSD active.


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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Dec 27, 2017 10:05 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 26, 2017


The euro against the U.S. dollar started with a tight trading week in a facile environment in consideration of the current market situation. Majority of traders are on a vacation this Christmas holiday season and the New Year whereas most of them would not working. This would result to lower volatility and liquidity that would limit the range of trading for this week.


There is also not much economic data on the calendar with fewer fundamentals in the next days to come. The steady dollar was supported by the tax reform bill, which was recently passed by the Senate and signed by the U.S. President. This would benefit m0st of the companies with lots of tax benefits which is as much as important to Trump and his team. At the same time, this is foreseen to improve the labor market and boost the economy in the succeeding years.


Hence, the dollar gained a short-term boost from the bill which will most likely be in effect for this week. The euro is being traded in a right range with minor consolidation in the past few months. Although, the fundamental new was not enough to successfully break the trading range.
It is yet to be discovered where the trend will range and if it is sufficient to sustain the pair within its range until January.

For today, there is not much economic news that is anticipated to be released from the eurozone or from the U.S. It is holidays in most part of Europe, which could result to tight trading range and consolidation throughout the day.


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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:27 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 27, 2017


It was a holiday in the majority of the places in Europe, including the U.K. that makes it not surprising if the pound persisted to consolidate and traded within a tight range for the most part of trading yesterday.  The GBP/USD pair falls within a tight range since there is few major economic news.


It will not be surprising to have lesser volatility and liquidity this holiday season. At the same time, there is not much placing of trades and more on profit-taking in the past week, which can be seen mostly in the smaller market such as bitcoin. Although, it was not that obvious for pound despite there is a bigger market that is why grabbing the opportunity of any selling of this pair prior to holidays is relevant.


Come the second week of January, both liquidity and volatility will most likely gain momentum. Until then, traders should get ready for choppiness within a range near the end of the year. The market has reopened following a long weekend yet, there is still fewer traders this week since most still wanted to extend their vacation until New Year. Hence, consolidation of the pair within a tight range will persist in the next few days.

When it comes to data the Conference board’s Consumer confidence data from the U.S. is anticipated to be released today but this would not bring much volatility in the market. There is no major economic news from the U.K. Thus, there will be low trading and slow movement in the market for the rest of the day.
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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:30 am

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: January 3, 2018


The Euro against the U.S. dollar climbed higher testing the resistance levels because of the exceedingly strong results of the manufacturing PMI following hints of the ECB meeting to end the quantitative easing in 2018. The European Central Bank has adjusted to the situation but with a steady inflation and progressive growth propelled the euro at a much higher rate.

The EUR/USD pair reached close to the September high at 1.2092 but was unsuccessful in breaking this rate. A strong euro has put pressure on the European stocks putting corporations into the lesser advantage against their competitors. The support level is found close to the 10-day Moving Average at 1.1920. The MACD histogram has been positive as it is printed in black with an upward sloping trajectory which could lead to a much higher Forex rate. The RSI indicator also gives an increasing positive momentum although the current rate is at 71. This is much higher than the overbought level of 70, which hints the possibility for a correction.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Jan 10, 2018 7:18 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 9, 2018


The GBP/USD pair trades around a tight range yesterday considering the fact that consolidation period is already expected in the markets. The US dollar remained unchanged, as it traded initially for the week, the course showed mainly about trade positioning and the price action was monitored by the market participants which limits market’s actions.



The British economy is predicted to recover if the Brexit process will flow according to the plan. The economic data issued from the United Kingdom last week was choppy and should be regarded as an indication for negotiators about the importance of Brexit talks to go as planned r else it might bring adverse effect for the UK economy. This was avoided almost be everyone since uncertain UK economy is far from the goal of international leaders. With this, the leaders of Euro and the UK will be responsible for this and should outline some good trade agreement for both sides.



On the other hand, the United States are waiting for the incoming data because the figures sent last week was choppy and obscure. The market expects for a three-time rate hike this 2018, however, the new Fed Chair Jerome Powell will take over in February and it remains uncertain about his plans and the way he works. Hence, this could lead to some risks for the dollar and the American economy as well. The Federal Reserve and the upcoming data should coincide in order to drive away this concept, resulting in stability for the dollar which is essential for the world economy.



Generally, there are no fundamentals or economic data from the UK or the US for today but the ranging between the levels of 1.35 and 1.36 should resume in order to engage more participants, particularly the day traders.



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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Jan 11, 2018 8:13 am

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: January 10, 2018


During the trading course on Tuesday, the New Zealand dollar appears to be choppy and mainly negative. The marketplace is characterized as wrist sensitive because the NZ dollar is generally influenced by “risk appetite” and commodity markets. Aside from that, there exist a dollar bias that further leads the market.


The 0.7150 mark looks like offering some kind of support for the NZD/USD currency pair, which appeared to be really strong lately. But the markets are consolidating which means that pullbacks are expected to attempt establishing momentum in order to resume the move to the upside. The longer-term charts imply consolidation between the 0.68 region on the bottom and 0.75 level above, which caused the market to resume further consolidation but the situation is regarded to be larger and longer term.

There is a tendency for the market to continue buying on the dips due to inability to reach the top of the consolidation zone after the rebound from the bottom. The Kiwi dollar would likely be slightly oversold, therefore, it is acceptable for some recovery and normality. Upon the breakdown, a significant support at the 0.71 handle should be expected which is previously a significant resistances and accompanied by a large gap since the past few weeks. Most likely, the American currency will continue to lose it strength.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Jan 17, 2018 8:45 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 16, 2018


There is a hint of bullishness in yesterday’s trading session of the pound since there is no fundamental news to affect the market aside from the bank of the holiday in the U.S. As a result, the pound bulls have become relax in trading. Most likely, this is one of the reasons why the pair has been steady in the past few days but failed to break the level of 1.38 amid the weakness of the dollar.


Other than that, it could possibly be because of a big news expected to come this week, particularly the inflation data and retail sales data. Traders and investors anticipate the data prior to positioning themselves to any direction. The incoming data from the U.K. came out stronger which brought choppiness to trading while others came in weak, which has brought further uncertainty to the Brexit negotiations and affect the U.K. economy.


Yet, the pound was able to take advantage of euro strengthening and the weakening of the dollar. Although, this may not last for a long time. More importantly, the pound is beginning to gain momentum to move higher regardless of its condition. Also, rate hikes from the U.K. are also becoming an issue after its one rate hike last year. The succeeding hikes are deemed to be more important and the central bank has to be certain on its support actions from last year to boost the U.K. economy and confidence of investors.

There is no major news from the U.S. for today but the U.S. is presumed to return to the market following their long weekend holiday. On the other end, the inflation from the U. K. is highly anticipated later this day as it will have a significant insight on the movement of the market and give a hint on which direction does the GBP/USD pair will go.


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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Jan 18, 2018 8:37 am

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: January 17, 2018


There has been a choppy trading for the U.S. dollar during the Tuesday session, the day of returning to work for Americans. Looking at the hourly chart, a slight downward occurred. There are also some major levels and expect the presence of noise in the market.


The U.S. dollar swayed back and forth yesterday. The next trading level would be at 111 which is a bit resistive. If the market breaks higher, it will probably be at 112 which has been significant in the past. It seems that there will be downward pressure and push the market towards 110. Overall, there will be noise in the market that puts the global economic outlook at a better position and at the same time, there is general selling of the U.S. dollar.

Hence, there will be high volatility in the market, which will attract more traders. If the pair breaks lower than the significant level of 110, the market will probably move down towards 108 soon after. Moreover, there are a lot of areas to cover which will highlight every 100 pips. Amid the presence of noise, the market could bounce back which would become an important pullback.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Jan 19, 2018 6:27 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 18, 2018


There is choppiness in trading the EUR/USD pair and continues its trading between 1.22 and 1.23 without no specific direction yet. Yesterday, the pair moved higher in the first half of the day, which will most likely favor the dollar. However, it shifted by the end of the day when the dollar has recovered and became stronger.


The euro has been gaining momentum in the past week although the euro rallied against the dollar in the previous month, which was influenced by the decline of the dollar while the euro became stronger. It was only in the past week that the euro started to strengthen independently due to the possibility of ECB tapering and completion of the quantitative easing by the end of the year. This largely influenced the euro as it rose higher and has most likely continued during the first half of yesterday. It reached the level of 1.23 and established a beeline on the trend.  


Yet, this was reversed during the second half of the day as the ECB was thrown into a disarray following the quick rise of the euro and should be brought down through statements and confirmation of the QE to return to normal levels. It clearly shows that their position would lead to termination of the QE, which was further supported by the incoming data. Although the central would rather strengthen the euro slowly. Thus, this supported the euro and slid down while the dollar was able to grow during the U.S. trading session and further pushed the price lower than 1.22 as of the moment.

For today, there are is no major news from the U.S. or the eurozone, which will most likely continue the choppiness for the day. Support is found in the area of 1.2180 then move further towards 1.21.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Tue Jan 23, 2018 5:32 am

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 22, 2018


The euro is being traded steadily since morning today. It seems that it weakened during Friday and it was able to support the level of 1.22 following the rebound to the support area and soared higher which continues until today. There has been major news from the U.S. and the eurozone which would bring volatility in the market.


Although the volatility present was insufficient to push the pair in either direction and stayed within a tight range between 1.22 and 1.23 over the past few weeks. There is a risk for a government closure as the bill has been passed which was blocked in the Senate through suffrage. It is anticipated that there will be an interim bill which will occur during the U.S. session. Nevertheless, this would have an effect on the dollar amid the various problems the U.S. encounter in the past few years.


This would be problematic for the Trump administration, which is not surprising. There are reports where the debate between Merkel and SPD party would continue looking for a coalition for short-term. This would keep the euro buoyed up during this period of time. There is also a press conference by the end of the week which is anticipated by the market on the decision of ECB.

For today, there are no major news from the U.S or the eurozone, which is already anticipated to happen in the second half of January. Although, there is various economic news to be reconsidered on either side, which would induce the volatility at bay.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Wed Jan 24, 2018 11:17 am

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: January 24, 2018


The Australian currency slightly declined amid Monday’s trading session and moved lower at the 0.7950 region. The rebound on short-term charts are expected along with the resumption of the consolidation period under the major level. A break over the 0.80 zone will enable the market to move upwards or impose a  “buy-and-hold” sentiment. However, creating a gap on top of the 0.81 region would indicate a  “buy-and-hold” tone with some kind of aggressiveness.


Usually, the gold market is needed in order for the AUD/USD to strengthen its move as well as to break out to the upside direction. It is expected that this situation will continue. Moreover, the gold markets drifted sideways aimed to hit the market in the near-term, but there is some support below which will trigger buyers to push again to the upside sooner or later. If this happens, the 0.78 area could possibly be the main contention area and short-term selling opportunity will hold up in that level. While a break down below there would hit the overall trend but this has low chance to happen with 10% of probability.

Expect for some massive volatility but there is an attempt at forming an attractive base in order to drive higher. It should be noted that the market will advance higher in the future but it should go along with gold.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Fri Jan 26, 2018 9:37 am

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: January 25, 2018


The Kiwi dollar broke out to upside amid the trading session yesterday, reaching the higher level of 0.74 which is close to the top of the general consolidation area in the longer term and extends to the 0.75 region. The 0.68 below is the lowest area of the largest consolidation zone which means higher price level. However, the American currency is obviously struggling and it remains to be seen for any upward movements. While pull backs could possibly offer value.

A break on top of the 0.75 handle would enable the market to edged higher or an attempt to reach the 0.7750 or 0.80 level. The volatility is projected to continue and the short-term pullback will arrive sooner or later. It is advised not to get attracted in selling due to factor against the US dollar sentiment. Market players should also take focus on commodity markets and the overall risk appetite for this helps gauge the next probable movement of the New Zealand currency. This is the expected event in the longer-term correlation and the Kiwi together with the commodities should ramp up, this will have higher chance to happen if the “soft commodities”  rallied. In addition to it, shorting could completely change the sentiment of the Forex market.




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Tue Jan 30, 2018 5:52 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 29, 2018


The British pound against the U.S. dollar has been declining in the past few days as the dollar strengthens, which seems to be the focus at the present time. Following the comments of Trump, the dollar is steadfast due to the positive economic data in the U.S. This resulted in a reversal of profit for the dollar.


The dollar has been behind since the middle of December and the pound has been one of the strong contenders for this period of time. It gained more than 800 pips against the greenback. There are indications of exhaustion and weakness for the pair. However, it is not just the weakened dollar that buoyed up the pair, the strong pound along with all the soft Brexit plans at the end of the talks.


This supported the pound to rise across markets, especially against the dollar which has been weak recently. However, besides the rhetorics from Trump, there is an increasing expectation for the new Fed chief Powell to take his post, as well as strong incoming data that would strengthen the dollar and induce Fed for rate hikes. The center of attention will be on the dollar in the next few days which is also anticipated to persist for a short period of time.

There is no major report anticipated from the U.S. or from the U.K. today, which is not surprising as it is the first day of the week. However, since the end of the month is approaching, a lot of flows is already expected and trades to be positioned prior the new month which would bring volatility to the pound. This is likely to persist in the next few days since the end of the month is near. Pressure will be eminent in trading but support will be in the area of 1.40.  




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PostSubject: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart   Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:45 am

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 31, 2018


Yesterday, it was forecasted that the British pound major pair will find it support in the level of 1.40 and it was anticipated to the line dividing the bulls and the bears. This happened as the price plunged down towards the area of 1.40 and further down for a short period of time before bouncing upward again.


Buying and the rebound of the pair were strong which resulted in an upward trend of the pair towards the area of 1.41. The trade stays beyond this level as of the moment. The volume of purchases indicates the strong presence of buyers. Nonetheless, it is essential for traders to keep in mind the end of the month is near and the prices are likely to be influenced by the month-end flows and any move at this period of time, which should be not be overlooked by traders.


Although, fundamental factors did not strongly affect the pair, as well as economically,  in the past few days which is already anticipated at the end of the month is approaching. These activities are moves largely are not part of the overall trend, which indicates that money flows have a bigger impact more than everything else. Hence, it is significant to wait on the sidelines and observe as this kind of trend will persist throughout the day since today is the last day of the month.

Regarding the economic news, ADP National Employment Report from the U.S. is anticipated to be released today but none from the United Kingdom. The ADP data is considered as a prerequisite to the NFP data, which will be published on Friday. Traders should anticipate for a strong data to keep their expectations for a rate hike from the Federal Reserve at a faster rate in the succeeding months. In general, the market is hoping for three rate hike for the year but a positive outcome through high figures on reports are necessary.




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